Financial transaction tax has merit but little support

At a meeting of European finance ministers in Brussels yesterday, attention was finally paid to the Commission’s proposal for an EU-wide financial transactions tax. Despite the backing of Merkel and Sarkozy it was met with a negative response from the majority of EU states, mostly on the grounds of a lack of planning for its practical implementation. Gordon Brown was heavily dismissive of the tax, quoting research on job losses and GDP reductions. Ireland followed suit with Michael Noonan claiming that any such tax, if not also implemented in the UK, would be disastrous for Ireland.

I continue to be surprised by the lack of consistent support for this type of levy, the proceeds of which could go some way towards reducing national deficits as well as providing finance for humanitarian concerns like foreign aid. There was a surge of interest in the tax in 2008 and 2009 at the height of the financial crisis but this has since receded despite the continued validity of the idea. Given that the recent global economic distress was partly attributable to the activities of banks it seems right and proper to tax financial transactions.

The capital that this tax could raise is impressive. The Bank for International Settlements reported in 2008 that the total value of the world’s annual derivatives trading was $1.14 quadrillion (a quadrillion is a thousand trillions). It is likely that in reality the figure is even higher, since over-the-counter trades are mostly unreported so their size is unknown. A mere 1% global tax on $1 quadrillion in trades would generate $10 trillion annually. We are looking here only at derivatives and not at the finance that could be raised by similarly taxing other types of trades.

The most common argument raised against this tax is that any such levy, by increasing the costs associated with trading, would have a dampening effect on transaction activity and thus would ultimately reduce profits and liquidity. Personally I remain unconvinced. There is huge money to be made in the derivatives market and a minor tax is unlikely to deter traders. The only real risk here would perhaps arise if the tax were applied only to a minority of banks or states; those groups would then be at a clear disadvantage in comparison to tax-free traders. The solution is obvious; it is imperative that the tax be applied to a sufficiently large catchment area to keep the playing field relatively level. An EU-wide tax or US tax would cover enough institutions to silence the argument that a select few have been put in an anti-competitive position. Obviously this will be difficult to implement but surely not impossible.

It should also be noted that the jobs losses and profit reductions that Gordon Brown referred to yesterday as a probable result of this tax will occur mostly within investment banks themselves. Implying limitations on a major industry that has an enormous turnover will naturally result in job losses and lowered profits within that sector. It has also been almost universally accepted that the banking industry is somewhat bloated and needs to be tempered in some way.

Critics also refer to the Swedish example. Sweden implemented a similar tax scheme in the 80s which saw its banks pass on the costs garnered by the tax to private individuals and investors. The answer here is strict regulation. The lax regulatory culture that permeated the financial world pre-2008 (particulalry on the issue credit but in many areas of bank activity)was in many ways the single largest contributor to the global recession and is thankfully coming to an end. We know now why vigilant supervision of the banking industry is in the public's interest. Strict regulation and monitoring of how a financial transaction tax is implemented will be necessary to ensure that banks absorb the associated costs themselves rather than passing them directly on to investors.

Taxing long-term investments that raise vital capital and provide sustainable returns is also a point of issue. It is important that a financial transactions tax primarily targets short-term speculative trading, the kind that was a major cog in the banking collapse. The tax structure must penalise short-term, high frequency activity, the type of trading  that provides no identifiable social benefit. Long-term investments should be subject to a very small levy but short-term movements – holdings for minutes or days – should be more heavily levied on an incremental scale.

Many of the finance ministers present yesterday felt that the biggest stumbling block standing in the way of a financial transaction tax is the practical difficulties involved in its implementation. Since it must be applied globally or at least at EU or US level, a requirement exists for cross-jurisdictional legislation and a practical plan that must cover thousands of institutions. However this is in no way an unattainable task; financial institutions communicate thousands of pieces of information every day through international networks, dealing electronically with complex and dynamic products. The creation of an instantaneous electronic method of taxation with an EU reach is not impossible. Similarly the tax will require a clear framework for the distribution of funds. Personally I favour a system that pays into the state coffers of the country where a trade takes place, with emphasis on sovereignty. However there is obvious merit in passing funds on to international schemes like UN healthcare and climate change programs.

Proposals for this tax were essentially sent back to the drawing board yesterday and a more detailed and practical plan must be formulated before EU finance ministers will debate this issue again. Hopefully the powers that be in Europe will not leave this concept to linger until public unrest at the activities of investment banks has receded.